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Housing Markets with the Biggest Price Rebounds Still Lag in Construction Activity, Reports Trulia

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Trulia, Inc. (NYSE: TRLA), a leading online marketplace for home buyers, sellers, renters, and real estate professionals, today released the latest findings from the Trulia Price Monitor and the Trulia Rent Monitor. These indices are the earliest leading indicators available of trends in home prices and rents. Based on for-sale homes and rentals listed on Trulia, the monitors take into account changes in the mix of listed homes and reflect trends in prices and rents for similar homes in similar neighborhoods through August 31, 2013.

Despite Rise in August, Asking Home Price Slowdown Continues

Asking home prices rose 11.0 percent year-over-year (Y-o-Y) and 1.2 percent month-over-month (M-o-M) in August. However, a closer look at the quarterly changes in asking home prices reveals a downward trend that’s much less volatile than the monthly changes suggest. Quarter-over-quarter (Q-o-Q), asking home prices rose 3.1 percent in August, down from 3.2 percent in July and 4.0 percent in April. And this downward slope will likely continue as mortgage rates rise, inventory expands, and investor interest declines.

                   August 2013 Trulia Price Monitor Summary

——————————————————————————

                                          # of 100 largest      % change in

                                             metros with      asking prices,

                          % change in       asking- price        excluding

                          asking prices       increases        foreclosures

———————-  —————-  —————–  —————–

Month-over-month,

 seasonally adjusted          1.2%          Not reported           0.8%

———————-  —————-  —————–  —————–

Quarter-over-quarter,

 seasonally adjusted          3.1%               96                3.6%

———————-  —————-  —————–  —————–

Year-over-year               11.0%               98                11.3%

———————-  —————-  —————–  —————–

NOTE: Monthly change is August versus July. Quarterly and yearly changes are

three-month averages. Data from previous months are revised each month, so

data being reported now for previous months might differ from previously

reported data.

——————————————————————————

Despite Recent Price Gains, Construction Lags in Las Vegas and Sacramento

A full housing recovery requires rebounds in both prices and new construction. Rebounding prices normalize the housing market by lifting homeowners back above water and encouraging them to sell. Meanwhile, construction activity signals that a housing market is no longer flooded with empty homes. Despite the fact asking home prices are up 11.0 percent Y-o-Y, construction activity still isn’t back to its normal level yet: construction permits in 2013 are around just 60-70 percent the average levels seen between 1990 and 2012. Among housing markets where asking home prices rose more than 20 percent Y-o-Y, construction was less than half the normal level in Las Vegas, Sacramento, Riverside-San Bernardino, Warren-Troy-Farmington Hills, and Detroit. Only Orange County and San Jose were at or above normal construction levels.

                      Where Asking Home Prices Rose Most

——————————————————————————

                                                       Construction permits,

                                                        2013 year-to- date,

                            Y-o-Y % change in Asking     relative to local

U.S. Metro                   Home Price, August 2013      long-term normal

————————–  ————————  ————————

Las Vegas, NV                        33.6%                      39%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Sacramento, CA                       31.9%                      38%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Oakland, CA                          29.3%                      60%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Riverside-San Bernardino,

 CA                                  25.4%                      46%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Orange County, CA                    23.8%                      125%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Phoenix, AZ                          22.7%                      53%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Warren-Troy-Farmington

 Hills, MI                           22.5%                      46%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Los Angeles, CA                      22.3%                      93%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Detroit, MI                          22.2%                      33%

————————–  ————————  ————————

San Jose, CA                         20.3%                      135%

————————–  ————————  ————————

Note: Construction permits based on Census data. Not all local areas report

monthly permit data to the Census. Bakersfield was removed so that only metros

with permitting data were included on this list.

——————————————————————————

Continue reading by clicking on the link provided below:

By: N/P.  “Housing Markets with the Biggest Price Rebounds Still Lag in Construction Activity, Reports Trulia.”

WSJ.com.  09/05/2013.  Web: Housing Markets with the Biggest Price Rebounds Still Lag in Construction Activity, Reports Trulia – WSJ.com.

Sierra Pacific Mortgage, Franco Manueli, Mortgage Lending, Mortgage Help, First-time Homebuyers


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